Victor Alvarez Homes Realtor  

TORONTO  REAL ESTATE MARKET MAY 2026


Sales in April 2026 increased by 7% compared to April 2025. New listings were down by 9.3% year-over-year. This suggests that the overall market conditions in the Greater Toronto Area tightened during the first full month of spring.

Despite tighter market conditions, selling prices edged 4.9% lower on average compared to last year, as buyers continued to benefit from ample choice and negotiating power.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOU

The Toronto real estate market continues to evolve with a strong focus on strategy, presentation, timing, and informed decision-making from both buyers and sellers.

IF YOU ARE BUYING: Your window is now! On a flat market, buyers have leverage on price, closing dates, and conditions. These are luxuries that disappear the moment the market shift and competition return.

If you are buying a new home – a new limited window of savings, and home ownership, just opened! With federal and provincial tax savings announcement, you could save up to $130,000 on your new condo or home. The tax savings are open to all buyers, including first-time home buyers, buyers that have awned homes before, and investors in rental properties.

IF YOU ARE SELLING: With the right pricing strategy, preparation, negotiation, and market guidance, we are continuing to achieve strong results for our clients, even in this challenging market environment. It is all about positioning your property strategically to maximize exposure and value.

Looking to buy, sell, invest, lease, or simply stay informed about the market, I am here to guide you every step of the way.

Just reply to victor.alvarez@bell.net or reach out anytime at 647-223-0562 - I'm always happy to talk real estate.


MARKET OVERVIEW

Traditionally, home listings begin to increase as the spring real estate market gains momentum. However, April 2026 continued to move against the trends typically seen during this time of  year, as listing inventory declined while home sales increased on a year-over-year basis. This shift suggests that overall market conditions across the Greater Toronto Area tightened during the first full month of the spring market.

Toronto Real Estate Market Report May 2026

HOUSING SUPPLY,  AFFORDABILITY  & DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS

For more than a decade, rising development charges, taxes, and affordability pressures reshaped the condominium market, leading many builders to focus on constructing increasingly smaller units in an effort to maintain attainable pricing. 

While this addressed affordability concerns for some purchasers, much of the housing product developed over recent years no longer aligns with the evolving needs of today’s market — particularly among downsizers and Canada’s growing aging population, who are seeking more functional and livable homes rather than simply smaller spaces.

Currently, approximately 18.9 per cent of the population is over the age of 65, and by 2030 that number is expected to approach 25 per cent. This demographic trend is anticipated to create a significant downsizing movement in the years ahead, further emphasizing the importance of more balanced housing options and practical condominium design.

It is encouraging to see all levels of government introducing HST relief and reductions to development charges in an effort to improve affordability and stimulate more balanced housing development. The full HST rebate alone is estimated to reduce the average price gap between new and resale condominiums from approximately 38 per cent to 20 per cent.

However, delayed policy responses often come with long-term consequences, and today those impacts are being felt across both the ownership and rental housing markets.


Toronto Real Estate Market Report May  2026
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NEW CONDOMINIUM MARKET

The new condominium market continues to experience  a significant adjustment period. With very few new project launches and an increase in cancelled developments, total unsold condominium inventory declined four per cent year-over-year to 19,608 units. Developers continue to navigate challenges related to construction costs, financing conditions, affordability pressures, and buyer confidence. At the same time, condominium pricing has adjusted considerably from previous peak  levels. The average resale price in recently registered condominium buildings averaged $859 per square foot in Q1 2026 — approximately 25 per cent below the market peak reached in Q1 2022.

Affordability improvements are beginning to create greater balance between ownership and rental costs. With the implementation of the full HST rebate, the average monthly mortgage carrying cost associated with


purchasing an average-priced completed and unsold condominium unit is now estimated at approximately $3.94 per square foot — largely aligned with current rental rates. Looking ahead, future condominium supply is expected to decline substantially. Annual condominium completions for 2026 are projected to total 21,850 units — a 27 per cent decrease compared to projected completion levels between 2024 and
2029. The future supply outlook becomes even more limited beyond 2026, with only 14,659 units currently scheduled for completion in 2027, 13,039 units in 2028, and just 2,029 units under construction scheduled for
completion in 2029.

This sharp reduction in future supply may ultimately contribute to market stabilization as existing inventory continues to be absorbed and demand gradually strengthens.

Toronto Real Estate Market Report May 2026
Toronto Real Estate Market Report May 2026

Toronto Real Estate Market Report May 2026


RESALE CONDOMINIUM MARKET

Resale condominium activity remained softer during the first quarter of 2026, with transactions declining 11 per cent year-over-year to 3,138 sales. Average resale condominium pricing declined nine per cent annually
to approximately $736 per square foot — the lowest level recorded since 2019.

However, improving affordability conditions have resulted in increased buyer interest and stronger absorption activity as more purchasers begin recognizing long-term value opportunities within the condominium market. The resale condominium sector 


in the GTA currently sits at approximately 5.2 months of inventory, reflecting more balanced market conditions compared to the highly competitive environments experienced in previous years.

The rental market has also continued to strengthen. Lease transactions grew at a faster pace than new rental listings for the eighth consecutive month, with the lease-to-new-listing ratio reaching 71 per cent — its highest level since 2023 — highlighting continued rental demand and tightening market conditions across the GTA

LOOKING AHEAD

The GTA real estate market continues to navigate a period of transition shaped by affordability challenges, demographic shifts, evolving 
government policy, and broader economic uncertainty. However,
 tightening inventory levels, improving affordability conditions, declining future condominium supply, and renewed buyer activity may signal 
the early stages of market stabilization.



As always, real estate remains highly localized, with  many micro-markets continuing to outperform broader  market trends. Buyers and sellers who remain informed,  strategic, and focused on long-term fundamentals will 
continue to find opportunities throughout the evolving  GTA housing market.





Work with us

Victor Alvarez, Sales Representative

RE/MAX Condos Plus Corp. Brokerage

45 Harbour Square  Toronto,  ON  M5J 2G4 

Mobile: 647-223-0562

Phone: 416-203-6636

Fax: 416-203-1908

info@victoralvarezhomes.com

Get In Touch

Victor Alvarez, Sales Representative

Mobile: 647-223-0562

Phone: 416-203-6636

Fax: 416-203-1908

EMAIL

Office Info

RE/MAX Condos Plus Corp. Brokerage

45 Harbour Square  Toronto,  ON  M5J 2G4 

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